Murciélagos vs Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
30.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
VAQ
0 - 3
MUR
35%
26%
40%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 0
TEP
61%
22%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
MUR
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
2 - 2
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
MUR
40%
26%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DUR
6 - 1
CAC
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
DUR
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
DUR
4 - 0
REY
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CUR
1 - 0
DUR
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
DUR
2 - 0
TEC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |