Murciélagos vs Deportivo Tepic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
UAP
2 - 0
MUR
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
LOB
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
TAM
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
DOR
2 - 0
MUR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
UDG
2 - 1
MUR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
TEP
1 - 0
UDG
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAF
1 - 2
TEP
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 1
TEP
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TEP
2 - 2
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
MER
2 - 1
TEP
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |