Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
MUR
21%
23%
56%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
FIO
1 - 3
MUR
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
MUR
5 - 0
SGI
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 32 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
COS
3 - 3
MUR
33%
24%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 1
COS
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
COS
4 - 3
SGI
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
TPE
30%
24%
47%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
COS
1 - 1
VIR
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |