Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SGI
2 - 5
MUR
13%
20%
67%
|
70 | 35 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 1
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
FAE
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
3 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
5 - 1
FIO
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LIB
0 - 3
COS
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
COS
1 - 0
SGI
76%
15%
9%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
COS
0 - 3
VIR
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
4 - 4
COS
75%
17%
8%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |