Murata vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2003 |
FIO
0 - 5
MUR
14%
20%
66%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2003 |
FAE
1 - 1
MUR
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
0 - 1
DOM
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VIR
2 - 3
MUR
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
MUR
1 - 0
TFI
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
COS
0 - 3
TFI
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
FAE
2 - 0
COS
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
DOM
0 - 0
COS
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | -1 |