Murallas de Ceuta vs Coleg. Juan Carlos I analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murallas de Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SSP
6 - 2
MUR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 2
CBR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
IMP
1 - 1
MUR
16%
22%
62%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 1
CAC
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CDD
1 - 3
MUR
12%
21%
68%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Coleg. Juan Carlos I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
COL
1 - 0
CDB
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CDP
1 - 3
COL
27%
23%
50%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
COL
1 - 5
SPO
17%
21%
62%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SSP
3 - 2
COL
80%
13%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COL
1 - 1
CBR
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |