Muggio vs Real Cinisello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.8%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
7.7%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
MUG
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MUG
1 - 0
CON
79%
14%
8%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 3
MUG
11%
18%
71%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
MUG
3 - 0
POL
86%
10%
4%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Real Cinisello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
REA
0 - 2
CIN
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
CRE
2 - 1
REA
64%
19%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REA
1 - 7
CIT
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |