Mtibwa Sugar vs Mwadui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MTI
1 - 0
SUN
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
MTI
3 - 1
TOT
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MTI
4 - 2
MWA
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 0
MTI
34%
30%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 0
AZA
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mwadui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MWA
2 - 1
SUT
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SIM
2 - 1
MWA
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MTI
4 - 2
MWA
51%
28%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MMA
3 - 0
MWA
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
MWA
4 - 2
NDA
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |