Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
20.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NDA
0 - 0
MTI
32%
31%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MTI
0 - 0
SUT
46%
28%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MTI
1 - 0
TAN
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SIM
1 - 1
MTI
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
YOU
0 - 0
MTI
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
KAG
1 - 1
TAN
48%
29%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
KAG
2 - 1
NDA
46%
29%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 1
KAG
49%
25%
25%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
KAG
1 - 2
YOU
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
MMA
0 - 0
KAG
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |