Mtibwa Sugar vs Kagera Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SIM
2 - 0
MTI
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MMA
1 - 2
MTI
30%
31%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 1
NDA
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MTI
0 - 1
RUV
62%
24%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MTI
2 - 0
AFS
57%
25%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NDA
0 - 0
KAG
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
KAG
1 - 0
MWA
35%
31%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
SUN
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
KAG
0 - 0
MBE
36%
31%
33%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KAG
2 - 0
MWA
32%
31%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |