Moyola Park vs Portstewart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moyola Park
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 3
MOY
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MOY
0 - 0
DUN
52%
21%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
COA
1 - 3
MOY
22%
23%
55%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MOY
2 - 2
TOB
43%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MOY
6 - 1
DOL
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
Matches
Portstewart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 5
TOB
33%
24%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
SYL
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PSN
5 - 0
POR
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 3
BAN
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |