Moura vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PRA
3 - 1
MOU
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 2
COV
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
MOU
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 0
1DE
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
MOU
1 - 0
LUS
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
COV
1 - 1
UDL
31%
25%
44%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
1 - 2
1DE
63%
22%
14%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
0 - 0
UDL
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDL
2 - 2
PRA
64%
21%
16%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
UDL
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |