Motril CF vs Mármol Macael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
48%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CAR
1 - 5
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MOT
0 - 0
ATA
67%
21%
13%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
1 - 3
MOT
9%
21%
71%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOT
26%
27%
48%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
MOT
1 - 1
GUA
40%
29%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mármol Macael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
MMA
1 - 3
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
MAL
3 - 0
MMA
56%
25%
19%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
MMA
0 - 1
UDF
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
MMA
2 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
XER
0 - 0
MMA
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |