Móstoles vs Tornado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
CIE
2 - 1
MST
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MST
5 - 0
COS
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
ADP
3 - 2
MST
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
MST
2 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
6%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
LEG
0 - 1
MST
33%
27%
39%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tornado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 0
PNT
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PBO
2 - 3
TOR
43%
24%
33%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 2
RMC
26%
24%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
STA
3 - 1
TOR
65%
20%
16%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 1
ARA
39%
25%
36%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |