Móstoles CF vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Móstoles CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
CAR
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ARG
2 - 1
MOS
30%
25%
45%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 2
ALU
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARA
3 - 1
MOS
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
CDF
64%
20%
16%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
YEB
1 - 5
CDF
47%
23%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CDF
3 - 1
MOB
70%
18%
13%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
RMC
3 - 1
CDF
64%
19%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDF
2 - 1
MOB
48%
23%
29%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MOS
2 - 2
CDF
64%
20%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |