ACRD Mosteirô vs Arrifanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
75.8%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+417%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACRD Mosteirô
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CSJ
1 - 1
MOS
50%
23%
28%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 1
SMA
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
MOS
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 2
MAN
9%
16%
75%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 0
MOS
57%
21%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
MOS
42%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
RME
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 2
ARR
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 0
RNO
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |