Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
66.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MOS
2 - 1
MSI
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 3
FLO
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 0
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 1
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2003 |
FLO
1 - 1
MOS
64%
21%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sliema Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
HIB
0 - 3
SLI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2005 |
SLI
0 - 3
BIR
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2005 |
SHF
2 - 0
SLI
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2005 |
SLI
1 - 4
SHF
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
SLI
4 - 5
BIR
44%
23%
33%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |