Mossley vs Runcorn Linnets analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
59.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 2
KID
38%
23%
39%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
MOS
2 - 0
KEN
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
MOS
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CLI
2 - 5
MOS
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2018 |
MOS
1 - 1
OUF
45%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Runcorn Linnets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ATH
3 - 2
RUN
36%
22%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RUN
2 - 0
COL
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
COL
0 - 1
RUN
33%
22%
46%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
RUN
2 - 1
TRA
64%
18%
18%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SKE
1 - 3
RUN
18%
18%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | +1 |