Mossley vs Harrogate Railway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.2%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mossley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FAR
1 - 2
MOS
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
SPE
4 - 1
MOS
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
OSS
4 - 3
MOS
27%
23%
50%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
BAM
4 - 1
MOS
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
MOS
1 - 0
GLO
19%
23%
59%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Harrogate Railway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
BUR
11%
18%
72%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
CLI
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 3
LAN
14%
21%
66%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
WIT
13%
18%
68%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PRE
4 - 2
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |