Moss vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
FFK
3 - 0
MOS
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
ASK
1 - 0
MOS
51%
21%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
ALT
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 3
MOS
44%
23%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
MJO
1 - 1
ASK
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 0
MJO
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
GRO
1 - 0
MJO
53%
22%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2018 |
MJO
4 - 3
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
NYB
0 - 1
MJO
38%
24%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |