Mosjøen vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
74.8%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
3.5%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
14º
14º
38
4º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mosjøen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 3
MEL
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAR
8 - 0
MOS
90%
7%
3%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 3
STR
7%
11%
82%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ORK
3 - 4
MOS
85%
9%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MOS
1 - 1
TIL
11%
17%
72%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 1
SKT
49%
20%
31%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TIL
2 - 2
LIL
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 4
NAR
25%
23%
53%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
3 - 4
LIL
13%
15%
72%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ORK
66%
17%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |