Mortágua vs Oleiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 2
ADN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ADM
2 - 2
MOR
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 0
LUS
20%
27%
54%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oleiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLE
1 - 0
SER
33%
26%
41%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
1 - 1
OLE
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
OLE
3 - 0
ANA
25%
26%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +3 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
1 - 2
OLE
27%
22%
51%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
OLE
0 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |