Morrinhos FC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
MOR
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 1
APA
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
ITU
31%
24%
46%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
GOI
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATL
18%
21%
61%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 3
APA
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 0
ANA
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |