Morrinhos FC vs Vila Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
ITU
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ITU
0 - 1
MOR
70%
18%
12%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
GOI
8%
16%
76%
|
41 | 81 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
ANA
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
5 - 0
MOR
88%
8%
3%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Vila Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 0
VIL
30%
25%
46%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
4 - 0
CRA
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
ANA
0 - 0
VIL
34%
24%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
1 - 3
ATL
29%
24%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAN
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |