Morrinhos FC vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
GOI
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 4
GOI
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ANA
2 - 1
MOR
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
6 - 2
CRA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ITU
0 - 2
GOI
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 2
ITU
34%
24%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ITU
3 - 1
CRA
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
GOI
0 - 2
ITU
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TUP
1 - 0
ITU
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |