Morrinhos FC vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 1
SAN
33%
24%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 0
MOR
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 1
MOR
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
ANA
28%
23%
48%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
MOR
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
TRI
2 - 2
APA
44%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
APA
2 - 2
CRA
34%
24%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
APA
0 - 1
TRI
54%
23%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
APA
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 2
APA
84%
11%
5%
|
48 | 76 | 28 | 0 |