Morell vs AE Prat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
57.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-90%
-71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
UES
0 - 0
MOR
24%
21%
54%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 1
CDC
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
CFV
4 - 5
MOR
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MOR
3 - 2
LLB
61%
20%
19%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CFA
1 - 6
MOR
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AE Prat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2015 |
PRA
2 - 2
CAS
68%
21%
11%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FIG
1 - 0
PRA
32%
28%
41%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
PRA
1 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 1
PRA
11%
24%
64%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PRA
4 - 2
FCM
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |