CA Morelia vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ZAC
1 - 1
MOR
26%
23%
51%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
TIG
2 - 0
MOR
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAZ
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
VER
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
MOR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PUM
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
TOL
1 - 0
TIG
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |