Morecambe vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
56.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
MKD
2 - 0
MOR
63%
22%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 1
OPA
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
CHA
2 - 3
MOR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 1
MOR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 1
OXF
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
1 - 1
ROT
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
5 - 1
CAM
58%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PLY
0 - 0
SUN
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 2
STF
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
OXF
1 - 2
SUN
41%
26%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |