Morecambe vs AFC Wimbledon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 0
MOR
56%
23%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
GIL
2 - 1
MOR
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ROC
0 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
4 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
STA
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Wimbledon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
0 - 4
SOU
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
1 - 1
ALD
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
AFC
4 - 3
YOR
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
YOR
0 - 3
AFC
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2012 |
EXE
2 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |