Morecambe vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
31.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EXE
2 - 2
MOR
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
ROT
3 - 2
MOR
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 0
NOT
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOR
34%
28%
39%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
BRA
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
BOU
2 - 1
GRI
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 2
BOU
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
BOU
0 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOU
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BOU
4 - 0
ROC
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |