Mordovia Saransk vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
UFA
1 - 2
MOR
36%
27%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 1
URA
44%
27%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 3
SPA
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
DIN
2 - 1
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 0
PER
40%
27%
34%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2015 |
ARS
0 - 3
KRA
26%
23%
51%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
ZEN
1 - 0
ARS
75%
15%
10%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
PER
0 - 1
ARS
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
UFA
0 - 1
ARS
42%
29%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
ARS
1 - 0
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |