Moratalaz vs Sporting Hortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
MOR
45%
25%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 3
SPC
48%
22%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
CDS
3 - 1
MOR
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MOR
5 - 3
CDV
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 0
MOR
36%
24%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Hortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SHO
3 - 1
FTO
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
TOB
1 - 2
SHO
30%
24%
46%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
SHO
1 - 0
PLU
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SMP
1 - 2
SHO
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SHO
5 - 0
SAZ
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |