Moratalaz vs EF Concepción A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
MOR
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
ARA
44%
24%
32%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 1
MOR
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOB
65%
19%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SSR
0 - 0
MOR
20%
21%
60%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EFC
1 - 1
ROB
15%
18%
67%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ROB
4 - 2
EFC
74%
17%
10%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 0
SFN
20%
21%
60%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
EFC
3 - 0
UNI
50%
22%
29%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 1
EFC
84%
12%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |