GOAL FC vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
57.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
SOC
4 - 0
MOA
73%
17%
9%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MOA
1 - 3
LYO
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
FCM
3 - 0
MOA
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
MOA
0 - 0
IVR
26%
27%
47%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
MOA
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NAN
4 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CSL
1 - 2
NAN
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 0
JUR
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
RAO
1 - 1
NAN
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPI
38%
27%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |