GOAL FC vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
BEZ
1 - 0
MOA
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MOA
1 - 2
VIL
38%
26%
36%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
JUR
3 - 1
MOA
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MON
5 - 2
MOA
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MOA
0 - 1
FCM
32%
26%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
HYE
56%
26%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
OLY
0 - 0
MAR
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
ROD
44%
27%
28%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
GRE
2 - 1
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
SAI
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |