Montrose vs Cowdenbeath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
29.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MON
0 - 3
ELG
27%
23%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 0
MON
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 2
STI
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BER
1 - 2
MON
60%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
CLY
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Cowdenbeath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
CWB
0 - 1
BER
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
STI
1 - 2
CWB
61%
21%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2016 |
CWB
0 - 2
ARB
33%
25%
43%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CWB
3 - 4
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 0
CWB
59%
20%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |