Montreal Impact II vs York Region Shooters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montreal Impact II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
TOR
63%
21%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 4
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
SCT
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
SHO
0 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NOR
0 - 3
MON
22%
23%
55%
|
58 | 31 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
York Region Shooters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 1
SHO
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
TCR
0 - 0
SHO
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
SHO
0 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
WAT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 1
TOR
62%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |