Montilla CF vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montilla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
VVA
1 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
MON
0 - 3
JER
34%
27%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
RLI
0 - 3
MON
22%
26%
53%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
MON
3 - 0
UDT
55%
25%
20%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
LUC
0 - 1
VVA
60%
23%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
JER
1 - 0
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LUC
1 - 1
RLI
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2001 |
UDT
0 - 3
LUC
22%
26%
52%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
LUC
3 - 2
SRQ
71%
19%
10%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |