Montevarchi Calcio vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TER
0 - 1
MON
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PIS
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
OLB
0 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
FER
48%
27%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MON
3 - 1
ANC
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
REG
17%
25%
57%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 1
ASL
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
3 - 0
ACD
15%
24%
61%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +3 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
43%
27%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |