Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TIG
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 4
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ATS
2 - 1
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MON
25%
26%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TOL
3 - 1
AME
43%
24%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUM
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 2
MAZ
70%
16%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |