Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
24%
26%
50%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
MON
2 - 0
JUA
67%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
AUR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
JUA
2 - 0
MON
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
PUM
0 - 0
TOL
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2020 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
AME
2 - 0
TOL
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
2 - 3
ATS
66%
19%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 4
TIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |