CONCACAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATS
1 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
TIG
60%
21%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 4
MON
41%
27%
33%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
AME
4 - 3
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 1
MON
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
2 - 3
NEC
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
QRO
0 - 5
TOL
27%
28%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
57%
24%
20%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |