Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
EST
2 - 1
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
ATS
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
MON
1 - 2
PAC
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
CAZ
3 - 3
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VER
2 - 3
TOL
31%
27%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 0
TOL
36%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MON
1 - 3
TOL
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |