Monterrey vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
ATL
51%
25%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
PUM
1 - 2
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
MON
0 - 1
CHI
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
MON
1 - 1
SAP
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 2
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2005 |
AME
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 2
DOR
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |