Liga MX Finals - Apertura Semi-finals
Global 2-6
Monterrey vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
5 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
CAZ
48%
26%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAC
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
55%
24%
21%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
5 - 2
MON
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIG
46%
26%
28%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 0
PAC
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAC
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
PHU
1 - 0
PAC
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |