Monterrey vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
QRO
1 - 0
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
LEO
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
JUA
3 - 1
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
44%
24%
32%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 1
NEC
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NEC
0 - 1
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 0
NEC
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 0
TIJ
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
NEC
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |