Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
26.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
24%
25%
52%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
3 - 3
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
SES
62%
22%
17%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 1
MON
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CAZ
0 - 1
MOR
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
JAG
1 - 1
CAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |