Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
IND
1 - 1
MON
44%
27%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
MON
4 - 0
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
PUM
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TIG
60%
23%
18%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
CAZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
CAZ
4 - 0
ATS
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CHI
3 - 3
CAZ
49%
25%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
CAZ
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |