Montehermoso vs Zurbarán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 2
MON
52%
23%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AMA
1 - 0
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
MON
4 - 0
CHI
68%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
BRO
1 - 4
MON
13%
21%
66%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
ARR
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zurbarán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 0
CHI
36%
24%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 0
ZUR
23%
23%
55%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 3
ARR
22%
23%
55%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
HER
2 - 3
ZUR
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 3
COR
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |